Downscaling with Constructed Analogues: Daily Precipitation and Temperature Fields over the United States
نویسندگان
چکیده
.............................................................................................................................................. ix Executive Summary........................................................................................................................... 1 1.0 Introduction.......................................................................................................................... 5 2.0 Data ....................................................................................................................................... 9 3.0 Methods ................................................................................................................................ 13 3.1. Preliminary Demonstration of the Method ................................................................ 13 3.2. Selection of the Variables to Use as Candidate Predictors ....................................... 14 3.3. Diagnosis: Constructing a Coarse‐resolution Analogue .......................................... 18 3.4. Prognosis: Downscaling a Weather Pattern ............................................................... 21 4.0 Results ................................................................................................................................... 23 4.1. Selection of Most‐suitable Predictors .......................................................................... 23 4.2. Daily Skill ........................................................................................................................ 23 4.3. Monthly Skill................................................................................................................... 31 5.0 Domain Size and Skill over a Smaller Region: California Example ............................. 37 6.0 Conclusions and Discussion .............................................................................................. 39 7.0 References............................................................................................................................. 43 8.0 Glossary ................................................................................................................................ 47
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